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01 · Livros estruturantes

• Acemoglu, Daron. Introduction to Modern Economic Growth. Princeton University Press, 2009.

• Aghion, Philippe; Antonin, Céline; Bunel, Simon. The Power of Creative Destruction. Harvard University Press, 2021.

• Banerjee, Abhijit V.; Duflo, Esther. Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty. PublicAffairs, 2011.

  Edição revisada set. 2025 (PublicAffairs) com material novo — ver verificação em pesquisa/bibliografia-verificacao-completa.md.

  hachettebookgroup.com (ed. 2025) ↗

• Galor, Oded. Unified Growth Theory. Princeton University Press, 2011.

• Jones, Charles I.; Vollrath, Dietrich. Introduction to Economic Growth. 4ª ed. W. W. Norton & Company, 2024.

  wwnorton.com ↗

• Ray, Debraj. Development Economics. Princeton University Press, 1998.

• Rodrik, Dani. One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth. Princeton University Press, 2007.

  Growth Diagnostics (framework da Semana 16) é reproduzido como Cap. 2, mas a citação canônica do método é Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco, ver Instituições e história abaixo.

  press.princeton.edu ↗

• Sen, Amartya. Development as Freedom. Oxford University Press, 1999.

• Acemoglu, Daron; Johnson, Simon. Power and Progress. PublicAffairs, 2023.

• Andrews, Matt; Pritchett, Lant; Woolcock, Michael. Building State Capability. Oxford University Press, 2017.

• Hirschman, Albert O. The Strategy of Economic Development. Yale University Press, 1958.

02 · Clássicos de crescimento e tecnologia

• Solow, Robert M. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1956.

  doi.org ↗

• Lucas, Robert E. "On the Mechanics of Economic Development." Journal of Monetary Economics, 1988.

  doi.org ↗

• Romer, Paul M. "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth." Journal of Political Economy, 1986.

• Romer, Paul M. "Endogenous Technological Change." Journal of Political Economy, 1990.

  doi.org ↗

• Aghion, Philippe; Howitt, Peter. "A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction." Econometrica, 1992.

• Mankiw, N. Gregory; Romer, David; Weil, David. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1992.

  doi.org · NBER WP 3541 ↗

• Hall, Robert E.; Jones, Charles I. "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others?" Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999.

  nber.org (grátis) ↗

• Easterly, William; Levine, Ross. "It's Not Factor Accumulation: Stylized Facts and Growth Models." World Bank Economic Review, 2001.

• Jones, Charles I.; Romer, Paul M. "The New Kaldor Facts." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2010.

03 · Clássicos de desenvolvimento e transformação estrutural

• Lewis, W. Arthur. "Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour." 1954.

• Rosenstein-Rodan, Paul. "Problems of Industrialisation of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe." 1943.

• Kuznets, Simon. "Economic Growth and Income Inequality." American Economic Review, 1955.

• Murphy, Kevin; Shleifer, Andrei; Vishny, Robert. "Industrialization and the Big Push." Journal of Political Economy, 1989.

• Banerjee, Abhijit; Newman, Andrew. "Occupational Choice and the Process of Development." Journal of Political Economy, 1993.

• Banerjee, Abhijit; Duflo, Esther. "The Economic Lives of the Poor." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2007.

• Bryan, Gharad; Chowdhury, Shyamal; Mobarak, A. Mushfiq. "Underinvestment in a Profitable Technology: The Case of Seasonal Migration in Bangladesh." Econometrica, 2014.

04 · Instituições e história

• Acemoglu, Daron; Johnson, Simon; Robinson, James A. "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development." American Economic Review, 2001.

  nber.org (grátis) ↗

• Acemoglu, Daron; Johnson, Simon; Robinson, James A. "Reversal of Fortune." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002.

  nber.org (grátis) ↗

• Banerjee, Abhijit; Iyer, Lakshmi. "History, Institutions, and Economic Performance." American Economic Review, 2005.

• Nunn, Nathan. "The Long-Term Effects of Africa's Slave Trades." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2008.

• Dell, Melissa. "The Persistent Effects of Peru's Mining Mita." Econometrica, 2010.

• Acemoglu, Daron et al. "Democracy Does Cause Growth." Journal of Political Economy, 2019.

• Hausmann, Ricardo; Rodrik, Dani; Velasco, Andrés. "Growth Diagnostics." Cap. 15 em Serra & Stiglitz (eds.), The Washington Consensus Reconsidered. Oxford University Press, 2008, pp. 324–355.

  Framework central da Semana 16 (diagnóstico de crescimento). Citação canônica em syllabi de ponta — ver pesquisa/bibliografia-verificacao-completa.md.

  doi.org · WP 2005 grátis em growthlab.hks.harvard.edu ↗

• Acemoglu, Daron; Robinson, James A. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. Crown Currency, 2012.

  penguinrandomhouse.com ↗

05 · Firmas, gestão, comércio e alocação

• Bloom, Nicholas; Van Reenen, John. "Measuring and Explaining Management Practices Across Firms and Countries." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2007.

• Restuccia, Diego; Rogerson, Richard. "Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity." Review of Economic Dynamics, 2008.

• Hsieh, Chang-Tai; Klenow, Peter J. "Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2009.

• Atkin, David; Khandelwal, Amit; Osman, Adam. "Exporting and Firm Performance." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2017.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Alfaro-Ureña, Alonso; Manelici, Isabela; Vasquez, José. "The Effects of Joining Multinational Supply Chains." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2022.

  academic.oup.com ↗

06 · Estado, infraestrutura, trabalho e transformação estrutural

• Donaldson, Dave. "Railroads of the Raj." American Economic Review, 2018.

• Asher, Sam; Novosad, Paul. "Rural Roads and Local Economic Development." American Economic Review, 2020.

• Weigel, Jonathan. "The Participation Dividend of Taxation." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2020.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Autor, David et al. "The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2020.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Breza, Emily; Kaur, Supreet; Shamdasani, Yogita. "Labor Rationing." American Economic Review, 2021.

• Porzio, Tommaso; Rossi, Federico; Santangelo, Gabriella. "The Human Side of Structural Transformation." American Economic Review, 2022.

  aeaweb.org ↗

• Donovan, Kevin; Lu, Will Jianyu; Schoellman, Todd. "Labor Market Dynamics and Development." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2023.

• Carranza, Eliana et al. "Job Search and Hiring with Limited Information about Workseekers' Skills." American Economic Review, 2022.

07 · Mensuração, novos dados e alta frequência

• Martínez, Luis. "How Much Should We Trust the Dictator's GDP Growth Estimates?" Journal of Political Economy, 2022.

• Burke, Marshall et al. "Using Satellite Imagery to Understand and Promote Sustainable Development." Science, 2021.

• Chetty, Raj et al. "The Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Evidence from a New Public Database Built Using Private Sector Data." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Merfeld, Joshua; Murdoch, Jonathan. "Poverty at High Frequency." Working paper, 2024.

08 · Fronteira: transformação estrutural e política industrial

• Gollin, Douglas; Rogerson, Richard. "Structural Change and Macro Development: Beyond the One-Sector Growth Model." Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2025.

  collaborate.princeton.edu ↗

• Lane, Nathan. "Industrial Policy and Industrialization in South Korea." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Garin, Andrew; Rothbaum, Jonathan. "The Long-Run Impacts of Public Industrial Investment on Local Development and Economic Mobility." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Mitrunen, Matti. "War Reparations, Structural Change, and Intergenerational Mobility." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2025.

  academic.oup.com ↗

• Juhász, Réka; Lane, Nathan; Rodrik, Dani. "The Political Economy of Industrial Policy." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2024.

  aeaweb.org (PDF) ↗

09 · Fronteira: inteligência artificial e direção tecnológica

• Acemoglu, Daron. "The Simple Macroeconomics of AI." 2024.

  economics.mit.edu (PDF) ↗

• Acemoglu, Daron. "Institutions, Technology and Prosperity." 2025.

  economics.mit.edu (PDF) ↗

• Acemoglu, Daron; Johnson, Simon. "Technology and Economic Development." 2026.

  economics.mit.edu (PDF) ↗

• Acemoglu, Daron; Autor, David; Johnson, Simon. "Building Pro-Worker Artificial Intelligence." 2026.

  economics.mit.edu (PDF) ↗

10 · Fronteira: mobilidade, desigualdade e confiança

• Corak, Miles. "Income Inequality, Equality of Opportunity, and Intergenerational Mobility." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2013.

• Mayoral, Laura; Ray, Debraj; Genicot, Garance. "The Great Gatsby Curve: Upward Mobility, Persistence and Inequality." NBER Working Paper 34144, 2025.

• Goldin, Claudia. "A Grand Gender Convergence: Its Last Chapter." American Economic Review, 2014.

• Besley, Timothy et al. "Growth Experiences and Trust in Government." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2026.

  academic.oup.com ↗

11 · Clima e desenvolvimento

• Burke, Marshall; Hsiang, Solomon; Miguel, Edward. "Global Non-Linear Effect of Temperature on Economic Production." Nature, 2015.

• Carleton, Tamma; Hsiang, Solomon. "Social and Economic Impacts of Climate." Science, 2016.

• Bilal, Adrien; Rossi-Hansberg, Esteban. Trabalhos recentes sobre antecipação, adaptação, migração e custos espaciais da mudança climática.

  sessão AEA 2024 ↗

12 · Desenvolvimento comportamental, trabalho e gênero

• Augenblick, Ned et al. "Retrieval Failures and Consumption Smoothing." 2023 (em revisão no QJE à época do syllabus de referência).

• Breza, Emily; Kaur, Supreet. "Labor Markets in Developing Countries." Annual Review of Economics (forthcoming no syllabus de referência).

• Carranza, Eliana et al. "The Social Tax: Redistributive Pressure and Labor Supply." 2024.

• Sanin, Deniz. "Women's Employment, Husbands' Economic Self-Interest and Domestic Violence." 2024.

• Houeix, Deivy. "Asymmetric Information and Digital Technology Adoption: Evidence from Senegal." Job market paper.

• Pelnik, Carolyn. "Moving to Profitability? Alleviating Constraints on Microentrepreneur Location." Job market paper.

• Agte, Patrick. "Fighting Silent Killers: How India's Public Healthcare Staffing Expansion Saves Lives." Job market paper.